Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.121719 0.135589 0.149800 0.165408 0.182032 0.199169 0.218135
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.105070 0.124363 0.144866 0.168147 0.193720 0.220833 0.251632
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.091542 0.114545 0.139807 0.169331 0.202612 0.238713 0.280576
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.079774 0.105357 0.134348 0.169141 0.209286 0.253708 0.306141
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.070638 0.098251 0.130479 0.170106 0.216784 0.269342 0.332321
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.061955 0.090830 0.125539 0.169234 0.221722 0.281782 0.354751
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.056590 0.086977 0.124465 0.172622 0.231430 0.299624 0.383408
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.050767 0.081986 0.121544 0.173403 0.237766 0.313372 0.407263
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.045441 0.077154 0.118423 0.173601 0.243150 0.325839 0.429552
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.040270 0.072055 0.114567 0.172541 0.246732 0.335979 0.448987
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.036497 0.068577 0.112574 0.173643 0.252843 0.349089 0.471958
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034195 0.067026 0.113024 0.177820 0.262778 0.366877 0.500644
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030474 0.063140 0.110186 0.177700 0.267436 0.378505 0.522374
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028060 0.061050 0.109712 0.180652 0.276014 0.395035 0.550211
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025408 0.058319 0.108126 0.181948 0.282356 0.408749 0.574630
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022637 0.055103 0.105612 0.181788 0.286665 0.419842 0.595807
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020441 0.052638 0.104044 0.182824 0.292484 0.432830 0.619375
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018023 0.049499 0.101238 0.181928 0.295588 0.442270 0.638476
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016791 0.048425 0.101560 0.185490 0.304723 0.459515 0.667495
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015118 0.046306 0.100082 0.186316 0.310050 0.471797 0.690246
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013490 0.044072 0.098267 0.186529 0.314458 0.482847 0.711436
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011796 0.041465 0.095662 0.185422 0.316928 0.491296 0.729282
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.010631 0.039841 0.094604 0.186579 0.322530 0.503872 0.752461